NWS Winter Storm Warning [Archive] - T4T Forums

View Full Version : NWS Winter Storm Warning

boardman

03-01-2007, 10:03 AM

NH:

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

TOTAL STORM SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 FEET
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE...8
TO 15 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INTERIOR OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND 4 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

TRAVEL MAY BE NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM
AND SIGNIFICANT DELAYS OF TRANSPORTATION OF ALL TYPES IS LIKELY.
HEAVY SNOW WILL QUICKLY ACCUMULATE ON ROADWAYS AND SIGNIFICANTLY HAMPER TRAVEL. SOME SECONDARY ROADS MAY BE UNTREATED. THOSE THAT HAVE TO BE OUT ON THE ROADS WILL NEED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION AND ALLOW PLENTY OF EXTRA TIME.

VT:

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF VERMONT AND NEW YORK...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOWFALL EXPECTED BY DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING AND MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AT TIMES FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY EVENING. A TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 8 TO 14 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY BY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING.

PERSONS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT...SHOULD TAKE THE
NECESSARY ACTION AND PREPARE FOR THIS UPCOMING WINTER STORM. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR ANY MEDIA OUTLET...THAT PROVIDES YOU WITH THE LATEST PRODUCTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...WHICH ARE SPECIFICALLY DESIGNED TO KEEP YOU INFORMED
DURING SUCH HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS.

ARGHHHH! I've already got plans to be at Killington this weekend; wishing now I didn't, so I could head up to Cannon instead! :doh:

03-01-2007, 10:10 AM

davidhowland14

03-01-2007, 12:32 PM

and im grounded because of finals...(in march, explain how that makes sense)

oh well, this should reinfornce bases across the state...now lets stop talking about it so we don't jinx it.

boardman

03-01-2007, 12:51 PM

...now lets stop talking about it so we don't jinx it.

Too late . . . what a difference a couple hours can make:

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 9 PM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
9 PM EST FRIDAY FOR THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF VERMONT AND NEW YORK.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL EXPECTED BY
8 AM ON FRIDAY. THEREAFTER...SNOW WILL CHANGE TO INTERMITTENT
PERIODS OF SLEET...MIXED WITH FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES...THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION
WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BRIEFLY BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY EVENING.

WITH A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SLEET EXPECTED DURING
FRIDAY...ADDITIONAL SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATION THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. TOTAL COMBINED
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL RANGE FROM 5 TO 9 INCHES ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

"Prolonged period of sleet" . . . Fahk! (this is for VT, btw; don't know about NH)

davidhowland14

03-01-2007, 12:58 PM

JayTux

03-01-2007, 01:06 PM

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/forecast/map_qpf_36hrfcst_4namus_enus_600x405.jpg

check out that band of 12+ that shoots right across the whites/waterville...and the couple inches on greylock (all my skiing energy is focused on the t-bolt @ the moment)

That purple band, even though the map may not indicate, most certainly reaches over Jay also.

Can't wait to see what the ravine looks like after this!

:D

03-01-2007, 01:43 PM

"Folks,this is your co-pilot speaking", RR said. "You know that this winter has primed Tripyramid with an excellent base", he went on.

"Pack your lunch and skin an hour and 50 minutes out the Livermore Road* to the North Slide trail. Be careful crossing the drainage right off the Livermore Road.

"Don't burn out on the 1/4 mile to the base of the slide or skinning up its 1800 vertical feet. It's okay to go for the summit, but it is unlikely you'll get any more skiing vert even if there will be drifts 10-12 feet deep :eek:

"Enjoy", he said wistfully, knowing that he could not get there this w/e.

* Park at Depot Camp and pay only the WMNF day use fee. That's at the North end of town in Waterville Valley.

PWDR8S

03-01-2007, 02:05 PM

We had not got up yet when we saw the TV forcaster speak the code at 5:46 this morning:
Mrs RR batted her lashes at me and coyly said, "I can take my laptop and a couple of books and study if I get tired, lets go to Cannon on Saturday."

I would so marry that woman again!

I would too but for the 1st time! You're a lucky man you are! :D DO you know of any others like her that happen to be gorgeous and single and possibly ski? ;) I'll accept riders as well too. As long as slippin' and a slidin' is a passion. :p

Bannick

03-01-2007, 02:11 PM

Thundersnowing....actually thunderdumping here in Toronto right now 2:13 pm...

mmmmm thunderdumping......

PWDR8S

03-01-2007, 02:27 PM

Thundersnowing....actually thunderdumping here in Toronto right now 2:13 pm...

mmmmm thunderdumping......

I like this definition of thunderdumping better than....... you can guess the rest. :rolleyes:

Anyone notice it thundersnows more often these days than say a decade ago? Something to do with climate change perhaps?

And everyone else..... STOP TALKING about quantities! You'll piss off ULLR and he'll shortchange ALL of us! We don't want THAT now... do we?

I'll post a Sunapee depth reading tomorrow AM before driving to the airport.

P-HUG

03-01-2007, 03:05 PM

[QUOTE=davidhowland14]http://image.weather.com/images/maps/forecast/map_qpf_36hrfcst_4namus_enus_600x405.jpg

QUOTE]

Nice work now it's all green, thnx for the jinx

PWDR8S

03-01-2007, 03:16 PM

[quote=davidhowland14]http://image.weather.com/images/maps/forecast/map_qpf_36hrfcst_4namus_enus_600x405.jpg

QUOTE]

Nice work now it's all green, thnx for the jinx

GRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!!!!! :mad: http://i86.photobucket.com/albums/k97/Adventure_2006/bigslapper.gif

Weather channel don't know what they're talking about.... the Eye on the Sky report is as follows if fools must keep talking about it and such.....

Thursday March 01, 2007 9:22 a.m.
The forecast for all of Vermont, and adjoining New Hampshire, New York, Quebec, and Massachusetts:
WINTER STORM WARNING MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 PM FRIDAY, US

SNOWFALL WARNING S’N QUEBEC LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY
TODAY: Increasing clouds south; AM sunshine, then increasing PM high clouds central; mostly sunny southern Quebec. Highs 26-34. N wind 5-10 mph.
TONIGHT: Snow spreading southwest to northeast, reaching eastern Townships after midnight. Snow may become heavy at times by midnight over the Adirondacks, and towards morning over all but extreme northeast VT and the Townships. Sleet and/or freezing rain likely near and south of the MA border after an initial snowburst. Lows in the 10s north, near 20 south. E-SE wind 5-15 mph with gusts over 30 mph over high terrain. Accumulation by morning 4-8” Adirondacks, 1-3” NEK, northern NH and Eastern Townships, 3-5” elsewhere.
FRIDAY: Sleet or freezing rain south of RT 11, may mix with snow at times. Significant icing possible. Precipitation changing back to snow during the PM. Total accumulation 3-8”. RT 11 to RT 4--Snow, heavy at times in the AM, changing to sleet for a period around midday. Total accumulation 8-14”. North of RT 4: Snow, heavy at times. Snow may mix with sleet for a time around midday. Total accumulation 8-16”. Highs in the 20s N, upper 20s-mid 30s S. East wind 10-20 mph with gusts near 35 mph over higher terrain will cause blowing and drifting of snow.
Extended Outlook:
Friday Nt: Snow tapering to snow showers northeast. Otherwise mostly cloudy with numerous snow showers N, and becoming partly cloudy with a few snow showers S. Lows 17-27.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, snow showers likely N. Scattered snow showers S. Highs 30-40.
Saturday Nt: Mostly cloudy with a good chance for snow showers n’n mountains. Scattered snow showers northern valleys. Partly cloudy with a few snow showers or flurries S. Lows 12-22.
Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy. A few flurries S; scattered snow showers N. Highs 28-36.
Sunday Nt: Variable clouds N, chance for snow showers early and again late. Partly cloudy S. Lows in the 10s.
Monday: Snow showers likely N, then windy and colder. Variable clouds, good chance for a passing snow shower. Highs 25-35, but temperatures dropping into the 10s near and north of the US/Can border during the PM.

It's worth a listen at 12:05PM every weekday on 89.5FM. It's braodcast from from VT so you might not get it. I think they do a podcast.
http://www.fairbanksmuseum.org/eye_detailed.cfm

03-01-2007, 04:12 PM

Hey gang....stop with all the hyperventilating...calm down and check this out, you'll feel much better The Mad River Glen weather blogspot w/Josh, the humble genius (http://madriverglenweather.blogspot.com/)

JayTux

03-01-2007, 04:38 PM

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/news-blogs.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&blog=meteomadness

Henry Margusity still calling for big snow. Even places as far south as Okemo are expecting 9-12 inches.

:D

Cliff

03-01-2007, 10:12 PM

Hey gang....stop with all the hyperventilating...calm down and check this out, you'll feel much better The Mad River Glen weather blogspot w/Josh, the humble genius
Ahhhh that makes me feel better lol now i just have to figure out where to go this weekend.

03-01-2007, 10:16 PM

Ahhhh that makes me feel better lol now i just have to figure out where to go this weekend.A little Powder Birdie whispered Madonna and Mansfield in VT and very quietly mentioned Cannon and The Kitty in NH.

Mrs RR chose Cannon...I have no problem with that :D

First Chair

03-02-2007, 08:36 AM

davidhowland14

03-02-2007, 09:09 AM

sorry everyone, but this thread keeps going and going, despite the fact that we all know we should stop talking about it...ragged has 5" new.

boardman

03-02-2007, 09:11 AM

FROM CANNON...

Comments: 8:00 update
The good news is that the snow is coming down heavily, and we have at least 4” of fresh snow on the ground. The bad news is that the wind has picked up steadily since 6:00, when the first reports were done. We are now seeing gusts of 40 mph and higher. Because of these winds, we will not be open today. Forecasts call for snow and wind right through the day.

OOOOHHHH NOOOOO!!! Poor RR! I hope he brought his skins!

So far, so good, I think. Radar seems to be showing all snow for 90% of VT and NH, and it looks like a blizzard on Killington's K1 webcam, though you obviously cannot tell what type of snow or other frozen precip is falling. It's white, to be sure, but is it powdah? I'm waiting to get a status report from a few buds up there who I think were going to MRG today.

GO ULLR!!!! :snowflakes: :snowflakes: :snowflakes: :snowflakes:

davidhowland14

03-02-2007, 09:15 AM

The Summit started recording snow just before midnight and the intensity should be picking up as the day progresses. Right now we're under a pocket of slightly drier air than the rest of the region but still getting enough snow to make us twitchy. Slightly rimed capped columns averaging 1.5mm are currently the dominant crystal type with a variety of needles, spatial dendrites and stellars rounding out the mix. This should change as the moister air moves in later this morning and the columns disappear. Differences in crystal type can help determine how layers of new snow may interact but on days like today its important to remember the big picture--THE NWS IS PREDICTING UP TO 2'(61cm) OF NEW SNOW BY THE TIME THIS STORM MOVES OUT TONIGHT!! Accompanying winds will stay out of the SE at 35-50mph (55-80kph) for the first part of the day before wrapping around to the W tonight. Wind speeds are likely to rise to 70mph (113kph) for a short window during the middle of the day before returning to the morning's predicted speeds. The wind direction may not be ideal for snow loading into the ravines but the speeds are pretty favorable. If you remember the storm of Valentine's Day you should recall that we had such strong winds that we actually ended up with less snow in Huntington after the storm as a result of massive scouring and transport to the lower elevations. With today's combination of factors we believe avalanche activity is likely to occur in most forecast areas. Although some areas may not reach the High rating during the daylight hours access generally requires travel through the runout of an area with higher concern. An example of this would be the Lower Snowfields with its commonly used approach from Hillman's Highway. Remember you don't have to be in steep terrain to get punished by the avalanche demons, even the lower angled runouts will do.

looking good...2 feet plus wind loading = excellent ravine

http://image.weather.com/images/maps/current/cur_ne_720x486.jpg

looks to me like greylock got some snow before the rain, but we'll see...might be an interesting t-bolt trip.

and this is becoming a monster post, but Ragged got a 30-day extension and a 10 million offer on the property, which would pay off their loan and give them 5 million. and ragged would haver a new owner. pretty good outcome, in my opinion.

03-02-2007, 10:51 AM

looking good...2 feet plus wind loading = excellent ravine...This is the strong layer that could be too much for the sugar layer found by numerous parties digging pits over the last 2.5 weeks. We have all observed it....it's only 12" above the ice layer on average with three strong layers above it by tonight.

I will guess this will cause an "Extreme" posting on the report tomorrow AM.