Tomorrow should make it interesting

[drewvw]

What kind of snow/sleet/rain combo will we be getting tomorrow, if at all. At Mt Washington and the lower regions of NH and beyond.

I don't see any clear conclusions in the weather reports, looks like a crapshoot.

Thoughts?

[icelanticskier]

one things for sure, if we do get a mix of crap tomorrow, the surfaces should improve dramatically and with wednesdays forecasted warm temps, the skiing could truly be deluxe. thursday-washout maybe. wednesday is gonna be fun somewhere as long as it's warm enough and the rain keeps at bay. thinkin of somethin up high wednesday.
rog

[surf88]

Locally in So NH anything will be an improvement. I did some crust touring today on skis after work hoping it would have softened a little in the pm sun. eeek. I ended up just chattering down the snowmobile trail.

[icelanticskier]

c'mon over to the beach where the sliding was soft and quiet. if the waves were better i coulda paddled out for some. things will improve, even inland here soon.
rog

[drewvw]

The 40 degree temps up north on wednesday sure seems like it could be a bunch o' fun....

[TheCrazyGreek]

i want to ski something wednesday since i got ditched again for tomorrow

[yuckster]

Starting tonight, the outer fringes of this weak great lakes low will spin some warm air aloft our way:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_012l.gif

By the wee hours of Wednesday morning, the energy all starts to shift to this southern stream system:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_018l.gif

The systems merge late on Wednesday, and shift towards the great lakes, with us still in the warm sector and above freezing at 850mb:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_036l.gif

Thursday morning & midday is where it really hits the fan, as the low passes us to the north :( and an occluded front swings through:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_048l.gif

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_054l.gif

To wrap it all up, we get a chance of upslope snow showers on the back side of the system, with NW-ish flow until at least friday morning:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_pcp_072l.gif

Not a pretty picture, it means fresh slab on bomber crust for the weekend, but any snow should come in on the backside of the system, meaning most of the winds that carry snow should be out of the W thru N quadrant.

[TheCrazyGreek]

My father called me and told me the mountains are really clear right now im pissed i didnt go up there today

[drewvw]

so far, based on what I am seeing the storm is staying far south for tonight at least...which is probably the best option.

[icelanticskier]

one things for sure, if we do get a mix of crap tomorrow, the surfaces should improve dramatically and with wednesdays forecasted warm temps, the skiing could truly be deluxe. thursday-washout maybe. wednesday is gonna be fun somewhere as long as it's warm enough and the rain keeps at bay. thinkin of somethin up high wednesday.
rog

my gut is gettin all warm and fuzzy for warm temps and softening surfaces tomorrow. east side of whites should stay somewhat friendly with maybe some peaks of sun for a good part of the day. we shall see.
rog

[surf88]

Not a pretty picture, it means fresh slab on bomber crust for the weekend, but any snow should come in on the backside of the system, meaning most of the winds that carry snow should be out of the W thru N quadrant.
Good info. Better than the weather man. Not a pretty picture looking at the big picture, but locally softening will be nice.